Trade Goods · Other · item 249430 · vendor 2s 50c
Log scale. The gold band is the forecast (Holt-Winters with a daily cycle on the log floor), dark = 80%, light = 95%. Purple marks are sudden moves.
| Posted at | Seen | 2h | 6h | 12h | 24h | 48h |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at or below floor | 117 | 14% | 17% | 17% | 17% | 17% |
Kaplan-Meier: share of listings sold within each time, by price vs the floor the seller saw when posting. Cancelled, expired and still-listed auctions count as "not sold yet", not as failures. 10 sales out of 118 tracked listings.
Needs tracked sales to fit a model.
Needs a demand model (tracked sales) first.
The biggest single posting holds 16% of listed quantity across 32 postings (HHI 0.08, competitive). Near the floor right now, one posting holds 16% of the cheap supply.
A "posting" is listings of one item that showed up in the same snapshot at the same price: one seller's batch. The API has no seller names.
| When | Bought at | Relisted at | Qty |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 14 Nov 16:49 | 37s 41c | 50s | 1 |
| Sat 14 Nov 16:49 | 37s 40c | 50s | 1 |
| Sat 14 Nov 16:49 | 37s 40c | 50s | 1 |
No material/crafted links for this item yet.
Alchemy: 2× Rosecap 16s 18c, 1×
Leaded Vial 50c
Materials 32s 86c → sells for 35s 47c: 2s 61c per craft
Can craft it: Mister
| Recipe | Needs | Profit |
|---|---|---|
| Mooncloth Reagent Bag Tailoring | 1 | 16g 37s |
| Mooncloth Bag Tailoring | 2 | 5g 78s |
| Mageweave Reagent Bag Tailoring | 1 | 20s 68c |
| No Slip SAF-T Padding Engineering | 1 | −7s 72c |
| Runecloth Bag Tailoring | 4 | −81s 49c |
| Gilded Handwraps Tailoring | 2 | −85s 47c |
| Talons of Wrath Enchanting | 2 | – |
| Libram of Invocation Enchanting | 2 | – |
| Radiant Staff Enchanting | 4 | – |
| Dreamstaff Enchanting | 4 | – |
| Truesilver Conduit Enchanting | 2 | – |
| Twisting Essence Jar Enchanting | 2 | – |
| Idol of the Dream Enchanting | 4 | – |
| Libram of Holy Alacrity Enchanting | 4 | – |
| Totem of Thunder Enchanting | 4 | – |
| Gilded Slippers Tailoring | 2 | – |
| Frothing Slippers Tailoring | 2 | – |
| Fiery Slippers Tailoring | 2 | – |
| Black Slippers Tailoring | 2 | – |
| Golden Slippers Tailoring | 2 | – |
| Radiant Slippers Tailoring | 2 | – |
| Frothing Handwraps Tailoring | 2 | – |
| Fiery Handwraps Tailoring | 2 | – |
| Black Handwraps Tailoring | 2 | – |
| Golden Handwraps Tailoring | 2 | – |
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