Consumable · Elixirs · item 10592 · vendor 1s 50c
Log scale. The gold band is the forecast (Holt-Winters with a daily cycle on the log floor), dark = 80%, light = 95%. Purple marks are sudden moves.
| Posted at | Seen | 2h | 6h | 12h | 24h | 48h |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at or below floor | 36 | 62% | 62% | 62% | 62% | 62% |
| floor to +10% | 16 | 59% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
Kaplan-Meier: share of listings sold within each time, by price vs the floor the seller saw when posting. Cancelled, expired and still-listed auctions count as "not sold yet", not as failures. 19 sales out of 52 tracked listings.
Needs tracked sales to fit a model.
Needs a demand model (tracked sales) first.
The biggest single posting holds 37% of listed quantity across 13 postings (HHI 0.202, moderately concentrated). Near the floor right now, one posting holds 48% of the cheap supply.
A "posting" is listings of one item that showed up in the same snapshot at the same price: one seller's batch. The API has no seller names.
No material/crafted links for this item yet.
Alchemy: 1×
Goldthorn 4s 10c, 1×
Fadeleaf 4s 9c, 1×
Leaded Vial 49c
Materials 8s 68c → sells for 9s 59c: 91c per craft
| Recipe | Needs | Profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 35s 97c |
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