Armor · Cloth · item 10501 · vendor 43s 98c
Log scale. The gold band is the forecast (Holt-Winters with a daily cycle on the log floor), dark = 80%, light = 95%. Purple marks are sudden moves.
| Posted at | Seen | 2h | 6h | 12h | 24h | 48h |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at or below floor | 46 | 6% | 33% | 33% | 33% | 33% |
Kaplan-Meier: share of listings sold within each time, by price vs the floor the seller saw when posting. Cancelled, expired and still-listed auctions count as "not sold yet", not as failures. 6 sales out of 48 tracked listings.
Needs tracked sales to fit a model.
Needs a demand model (tracked sales) first.
The biggest single posting holds 88% of listed quantity across 2 postings (HHI 0.781, concentrated). Near the floor right now, one posting holds 88% of the cheap supply.
A "posting" is listings of one item that showed up in the same snapshot at the same price: one seller's batch. The API has no seller names.
No material/crafted links for this item yet.
Engineering: 4×
Thick Leather 5s 85c, 2×
Aquamarine 20s, 1×
Catseye Draught 10s 18c
Materials 73s 58c → sells for 94s 5c: 20s 47c per craft
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