Armor · Cloth · item 9999 · vendor 48s 32c
Log scale. The gold band is the forecast (Holt-Winters with a daily cycle on the log floor), dark = 80%, light = 95%. Purple marks are sudden moves.
| Posted at | Seen | 2h | 6h | 12h | 24h | 48h |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at or below floor | 31 | 0% | 40% | 40% | 40% | 40% |
Kaplan-Meier: share of listings sold within each time, by price vs the floor the seller saw when posting. Cancelled, expired and still-listed auctions count as "not sold yet", not as failures. 2 sales out of 31 tracked listings.
Needs tracked sales to fit a model.
Needs a demand model (tracked sales) first.
The biggest single posting holds 56% of listed quantity across 5 postings (HHI 0.369, concentrated). Near the floor right now, one posting holds 64% of the cheap supply.
A "posting" is listings of one item that showed up in the same snapshot at the same price: one seller's batch. The API has no seller names.
No material/crafted links for this item yet.
Tailoring: 2×
Bolt of Mageweave 28s 11c, 3×
Silken Thread 5s 16c
Materials 71s 70c → sells for 47s 40c: −24s 30c per craft
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