FOREVERAH

Collecting since Sat 14 Nov 14:19: 0.3 of the ~14 days the models need to settle. Price history is real already; demand, pricing and forecasts firm up as data comes in.

Black Mageweave Vest

Armor · Cloth · item 9998 · vendor 48s 15c

no demand model yet

Floor60s 98ccheapest 60s 98c

Median60s 98cby quantity

Listed5050 listings

Sold / day19avg of last 1 days with sales

Price

Floor (10th pct)MedianCheapest

Log scale. The gold band is the forecast (Holt-Winters with a daily cycle on the log floor), dark = 80%, light = 95%. Purple marks are sudden moves.

ListedSold (est.)

How fast it sells

at or below floorover +30%

Posted at	Seen	2h	6h	12h	24h	48h
at or below floor	38	46%	100%	100%	100%	100%
over +30%	24	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%

Kaplan-Meier: share of listings sold within each time, by price vs the floor the seller saw when posting. Cancelled, expired and still-listed auctions count as "not sold yet", not as failures. 13 sales out of 63 tracked listings.

Chance to sell, by price

Needs tracked sales to fit a model.

Best posting price

Needs a demand model (tracked sales) first.

Market structure

The biggest single posting holds 50% of listed quantity across 7 postings (HHI 0.334, concentrated). Near the floor right now, one posting holds 96% of the cheap supply.

A "posting" is listings of one item that showed up in the same snapshot at the same price: one seller's batch. The API has no seller names.

Possible flips, last 7 days

When	Bought at	Relisted at	Qty
Sat 14 Nov 18:49	51s	68s 98c	1
Sat 14 Nov 18:49	51s	68s 99c	1
Sat 14 Nov 18:49	51s	68s 99c	1
Sat 14 Nov 18:49	51s	68s 99c	1
Sat 14 Nov 18:49	51s	68s 99c	1
Sat 14 Nov 18:49	51s	68s 99c	1
Sat 14 Nov 18:49	51s	68s 99c	1
Sat 14 Nov 18:49	51s	68s 99c	1
Sat 14 Nov 18:49	51s	68s 99c	1
Sat 14 Nov 18:49	51s	68s 99c	1

Recipe links

No material/crafted links for this item yet.

Crafting it

Tailoring: 2× Bolt of Mageweave 26s 70c, 3× Silken Thread 4s 40c

Materials 66s 60c → sells for 57s 93c: −8s 67c per craft