Elixir of Greater Intellect
Consumable · Elixirs · item 9179 · vendor 10s
Price
Log scale. The gold band is the forecast (Holt-Winters with a daily cycle on the log floor), dark = 80%, light = 95%. Purple marks are sudden moves.
How fast it sells
| Posted at | Seen | 2h | 6h | 12h | 24h | 48h |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at or below floor | 44 | 18% | 37% | 37% | 37% | 37% |
| floor to +10% | 14 | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| +10% to +30% | 5 | 80% | 80% | 80% | 80% | 80% |
Kaplan-Meier: share of listings sold within each time, by price vs the floor the seller saw when posting. Cancelled, expired and still-listed auctions count as "not sold yet", not as failures. 16 sales out of 63 tracked listings.
Chance to sell, by price
Needs tracked sales to fit a model.
Best posting price
Needs a demand model (tracked sales) first.
Market structure
The biggest single posting holds 24% of listed quantity across 9 postings (HHI 0.157, moderately concentrated). Near the floor right now, one posting holds 29% of the cheap supply.
A "posting" is listings of one item that showed up in the same snapshot at the same price: one seller's batch. The API has no seller names.
Recipe links
No material/crafted links for this item yet.
Crafting it
Alchemy: 1× 
Blindweed 9s 89c, 1× 
Khadgar's Whisker 3s 46c, 1× 
Crystal Vial 6s 41c
Materials 19s 76c → sells for 12s 82c: −6s 94c per craft
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