Trade Goods · Parts · item 9061 · vendor 2s 50c
Log scale. The gold band is the forecast (Holt-Winters with a daily cycle on the log floor), dark = 80%, light = 95%. Purple marks are sudden moves.
| Posted at | Seen | 2h | 6h | 12h | 24h | 48h |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at or below floor | 39 | 3% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| +10% to +30% | 11 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Kaplan-Meier: share of listings sold within each time, by price vs the floor the seller saw when posting. Cancelled, expired and still-listed auctions count as "not sold yet", not as failures. 17 sales out of 53 tracked listings.
Needs tracked sales to fit a model.
Needs a demand model (tracked sales) first.
The biggest single posting holds 36% of listed quantity across 9 postings (HHI 0.27, concentrated). Near the floor right now, one posting holds 85% of the cheap supply.
A "posting" is listings of one item that showed up in the same snapshot at the same price: one seller's batch. The API has no seller names.
No material/crafted links for this item yet.
Alchemy: 1×
Firebloom 10s 28c, 1×
Volatile Rum 4s 79c, 1×
Leaded Vial 71c
Materials 15s 78c → sells for 19s 95c: 4s 17c per craft
| Recipe | Needs | Profit |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | 6g 2s | |
| 2 | 83s 23c | |
| 1 | 58s 27c | |
| 2 | – | |
| 4 | – | |
| 1 | – | |
| 2 | – | |
| 3 | – |
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