Ghost Mushroom
Trade Goods · Herb · item 8845 · vendor 3s 75c
Price
Log scale. The gold band is the forecast (Holt-Winters with a daily cycle on the log floor), dark = 80%, light = 95%. Purple marks are sudden moves.
How fast it sells
| Posted at | Seen | 2h | 6h | 12h | 24h | 48h |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at or below floor | 226 | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% |
Kaplan-Meier: share of listings sold within each time, by price vs the floor the seller saw when posting. Cancelled, expired and still-listed auctions count as "not sold yet", not as failures. 3 sales out of 228 tracked listings.
Chance to sell, by price
Needs tracked sales to fit a model.
Best posting price
Needs a demand model (tracked sales) first.
Market structure
The biggest single posting holds 18% of listed quantity across 34 postings (HHI 0.078, competitive). Near the floor right now, one posting holds 22% of the cheap supply.
A "posting" is listings of one item that showed up in the same snapshot at the same price: one seller's batch. The API has no seller names.
Recipe links
No material/crafted links for this item yet.
Used to make
| Recipe | Needs | Profit |
|---|---|---|
 Caustic Smog Potion Alchemy |
2 | 2g 43s |
 Elixir of Ferocity Alchemy |
1 | 2g 14s |
 Potion of Demon Slaying Alchemy |
1 | 3s 68c |
 Limited Invulnerability Potion Alchemy |
1 | 98c |
 Elixir of Shadow Power Alchemy |
3 | −8s 47c |
 Ghost Dye Alchemy |
2 | −35s 71c |
 Invisibility Potion Alchemy |
1 | – |
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