Armor · Leather · item 8201 · vendor 53s 50c
Log scale. The gold band is the forecast (Holt-Winters with a daily cycle on the log floor), dark = 80%, light = 95%. Purple marks are sudden moves.
| Posted at | Seen | 2h | 6h | 12h | 24h | 48h |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at or below floor | 143 | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% |
Kaplan-Meier: share of listings sold within each time, by price vs the floor the seller saw when posting. Cancelled, expired and still-listed auctions count as "not sold yet", not as failures. 1 sales out of 143 tracked listings.
Needs tracked sales to fit a model.
Needs a demand model (tracked sales) first.
The biggest single posting holds 27% of listed quantity across 18 postings (HHI 0.136, competitive). Near the floor right now, one posting holds 31% of the cheap supply.
A "posting" is listings of one item that showed up in the same snapshot at the same price: one seller's batch. The API has no seller names.
No material/crafted links for this item yet.
Leatherworking: 8×
Thick Leather 6s 10c, 6×
Flask of Mojo 2s 98c, 1×
Heavy Silken Thread 19s 45c
Materials 86s 13c → sells for 90s 24c: 4s 11c per craft
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