Armor · Plate · item 7933 · vendor 57s 69c
Log scale. The gold band is the forecast (Holt-Winters with a daily cycle on the log floor), dark = 80%, light = 95%. Purple marks are sudden moves.
| Posted at | Seen | 2h | 6h | 12h | 24h | 48h |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at or below floor | 36 | 53% | 79% | 79% | 79% | 79% |
Kaplan-Meier: share of listings sold within each time, by price vs the floor the seller saw when posting. Cancelled, expired and still-listed auctions count as "not sold yet", not as failures. 26 sales out of 36 tracked listings.
Needs tracked sales to fit a model.
Needs a demand model (tracked sales) first.
The biggest single posting holds 77% of listed quantity across 3 postings (HHI 0.632, concentrated). Near the floor right now, one posting holds 77% of the cheap supply.
A "posting" is listings of one item that showed up in the same snapshot at the same price: one seller's batch. The API has no seller names.
No material/crafted links for this item yet.
Blacksmithing: 14×
Mithril Bar 10s 58c, 4×
Thick Leather 6s 10c
Materials 1g 72s → sells for 76s: −96s 52c per craft
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