Armor · Leather · item 7352 · vendor 13s 6c
Log scale. The gold band is the forecast (Holt-Winters with a daily cycle on the log floor), dark = 80%, light = 95%. Purple marks are sudden moves.
| Posted at | Seen | 2h | 6h | 12h | 24h | 48h |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at or below floor | 26 | 45% | 53% | 53% | 53% | 53% |
Kaplan-Meier: share of listings sold within each time, by price vs the floor the seller saw when posting. Cancelled, expired and still-listed auctions count as "not sold yet", not as failures. 7 sales out of 26 tracked listings.
Needs tracked sales to fit a model.
Needs a demand model (tracked sales) first.
The biggest single posting holds 41% of listed quantity across 4 postings (HHI 0.328, concentrated). Near the floor right now, one posting holds 41% of the cheap supply.
A "posting" is listings of one item that showed up in the same snapshot at the same price: one seller's batch. The API has no seller names.
No material/crafted links for this item yet.
Leatherworking: 6×
Medium Leather 97c, 1×
Elemental Earth 22s 47c, 2×
Fine Thread 94c
Materials 30s 17c → sells for 17s 48c: −12s 69c per craft
Can craft it: John
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