FOREVERAH
Collecting since Sat 14 Nov 14:19: 0.1 of the ~14 days the models need to settle. Price history is real already; demand, pricing and forecasts firm up as data comes in.

Light Leather Pants

Armor · Leather · item 7282 · vendor 5s 99c

no demand model yet
Floor5s 97ccheapest 5s 97c
Median5s 97cby quantity
Listed222222 listings
Sold / day17avg of last 1 days with sales

Price

Floor (10th pct)MedianCheapest

Log scale. The gold band is the forecast (Holt-Winters with a daily cycle on the log floor), dark = 80%, light = 95%. Purple marks are sudden moves.

ListedSold (est.)

How fast it sells

at or below floorover +30%
Posted atSeen2h6h12h24h48h
at or below floor15612%12%12%12%12%
over +30%60%0%0%0%0%

Kaplan-Meier: share of listings sold within each time, by price vs the floor the seller saw when posting. Cancelled, expired and still-listed auctions count as "not sold yet", not as failures. 16 sales out of 163 tracked listings.

Chance to sell, by price

Needs tracked sales to fit a model.

Best posting price

Needs a demand model (tracked sales) first.

Market structure

The biggest single posting holds 28% of listed quantity across 18 postings (HHI 0.17, moderately concentrated). Near the floor right now, one posting holds 33% of the cheap supply.

A "posting" is listings of one item that showed up in the same snapshot at the same price: one seller's batch. The API has no seller names.

Possible flips, last 7 days

WhenBought atRelisted atQty
Sat 14 Nov 16:495s 97c8s 98c1
Sat 14 Nov 16:495s 97c8s 98c1
Sat 14 Nov 16:495s 95c8s 98c1
Sat 14 Nov 16:495s 95c8s 98c1
Sat 14 Nov 16:495s 95c8s 98c1
Sat 14 Nov 16:495s 95c8s 98c1
Sat 14 Nov 16:495s 95c8s 98c1
Sat 14 Nov 16:495s 95c8s 98c1
Sat 14 Nov 16:495s 95c8s 98c1
Sat 14 Nov 16:495s 95c8s 98c1

Recipe links

No material/crafted links for this item yet.

Crafting it

Leatherworking: 10× Light Leather 75c, 1× Cured Light Hide 1s 25c, 1× Fine Thread 94c

Materials 9s 69c → sells for 5s 67c: −4s 2c per craft

Can craft it: Baharr, John, Nethiri

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