Consumable · Device · item 6533 · vendor 62c
Log scale. The gold band is the forecast (Holt-Winters with a daily cycle on the log floor), dark = 80%, light = 95%. Purple marks are sudden moves.
| Posted at | Seen | 2h | 6h | 12h | 24h | 48h |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at or below floor | 106 | 4% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 4% |
Kaplan-Meier: share of listings sold within each time, by price vs the floor the seller saw when posting. Cancelled, expired and still-listed auctions count as "not sold yet", not as failures. 2 sales out of 111 tracked listings.
Needs tracked sales to fit a model.
Needs a demand model (tracked sales) first.
The biggest single posting holds 13% of listed quantity across 35 postings (HHI 0.067, competitive). Near the floor right now, one posting holds 33% of the cheap supply.
A "posting" is listings of one item that showed up in the same snapshot at the same price: one seller's batch. The API has no seller names.
| When | Bought at | Relisted at | Qty |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 14 Nov 14:49 | 5s 89c | 7s 53c | 15 |
| Sat 14 Nov 14:49 | 5s 90c | 7s 55c | 20 |
| Sat 14 Nov 14:49 | 5s 89c | 7s 55c | 20 |
| Sat 14 Nov 14:49 | 5s 89c | 7s 55c | 20 |
| Sat 14 Nov 14:49 | 5s 90c | 7s 55c | 20 |
| Sat 14 Nov 14:49 | 5s 89c | 7s 55c | 20 |
| Sat 14 Nov 14:49 | 5s 89c | 7s 55c | 20 |
| Sat 14 Nov 14:49 | 5s 90c | 7s 55c | 20 |
| Sat 14 Nov 14:49 | 5s 89c | 7s 55c | 20 |
| Sat 14 Nov 14:49 | 5s 89c | 7s 55c | 20 |
No material/crafted links for this item yet.
Engineering: 2×
Bronze Bar 1s 92c, 1×
Nightcrawlers 99c, 1×
Coarse Blasting Powder 39c
Materials 5s 22c → sells for 10s 14c: 4s 92c per craft
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