FOREVERAH

Collecting since Sat 14 Nov 14:19: 0.1 of the ~14 days the models need to settle. Price history is real already; demand, pricing and forecasts firm up as data comes in.

Flash Bomb

Consumable · Explosives · item 4852 · vendor 3s

no demand model yet

Floor69s 99ccheapest 69s 98c

Median99s 97cby quantity

Listed20691 listings

Sold / day18avg of last 1 days with sales

Price

Floor (10th pct)MedianCheapest

Log scale. The gold band is the forecast (Holt-Winters with a daily cycle on the log floor), dark = 80%, light = 95%. Purple marks are sudden moves.

ListedSold (est.)

How fast it sells

at or below floor

Posted at	Seen	2h	6h	12h	24h	48h
at or below floor	45	8%	8%	8%	8%	8%

Kaplan-Meier: share of listings sold within each time, by price vs the floor the seller saw when posting. Cancelled, expired and still-listed auctions count as "not sold yet", not as failures. 2 sales out of 45 tracked listings.

Chance to sell, by price

Needs tracked sales to fit a model.

Best posting price

Needs a demand model (tracked sales) first.

Market structure

The biggest single posting holds 18% of listed quantity across 21 postings (HHI 0.115, competitive). Near the floor right now, one posting holds 38% of the cheap supply.

A "posting" is listings of one item that showed up in the same snapshot at the same price: one seller's batch. The API has no seller names.

Possible flips, last 7 days

When	Bought at	Relisted at	Qty
Sat 14 Nov 16:49	32s	69s 98c	1
Sat 14 Nov 16:49	32s	69s 98c	1
Sat 14 Nov 16:49	32s	69s 98c	1
Sat 14 Nov 16:49	32s	69s 98c	1
Sat 14 Nov 16:49	32s	69s 98c	1
Sat 14 Nov 16:49	32s	69s 98c	1
Sat 14 Nov 16:49	32s	69s 98c	1
Sat 14 Nov 16:49	32s	69s 98c	1
Sat 14 Nov 16:49	32s	69s 99c	1
Sat 14 Nov 16:49	32s	69s 99c	1

Recipe links

No material/crafted links for this item yet.

Crafting it

Engineering: 1× Blue Pearl 16s 99c, 1× Heavy Blasting Powder 4s 20c, 1× Silk Cloth 1s 99c

Materials 23s 18c → sells for 66s 49c: 43s 31c per craft