Simple Wood
Trade Goods · Other · item 4470 · vendor 9c
Price
Log scale. The gold band is the forecast (Holt-Winters with a daily cycle on the log floor), dark = 80%, light = 95%. Purple marks are sudden moves.
How fast it sells
| Posted at | Seen | 2h | 6h | 12h | 24h | 48h |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at or below floor | 53 | 13% | 13% | 13% | 13% | 13% |
| over +30% | 14 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Kaplan-Meier: share of listings sold within each time, by price vs the floor the seller saw when posting. Cancelled, expired and still-listed auctions count as "not sold yet", not as failures. 7 sales out of 70 tracked listings.
Chance to sell, by price
Needs tracked sales to fit a model.
Best posting price
Needs a demand model (tracked sales) first.
Market structure
The biggest single posting holds 24% of listed quantity across 20 postings (HHI 0.155, moderately concentrated). Near the floor right now, one posting holds 56% of the cheap supply.
A "posting" is listings of one item that showed up in the same snapshot at the same price: one seller's batch. The API has no seller names.
Recipe links
No material/crafted links for this item yet.
Used to make
| Recipe | Needs | Profit |
|---|---|---|
| Loom Tailoring | 4 | 19g 59s |
| Trapper's Workbench Skinning | 2 | 2g 71s |
| Fishing Hut Fishing | 5 | 27s 10c |
| Spinning Wheel Tailoring | 2 | 17s 67c |
| Fishing Rack Fishing | 2 | 3s 55c |
| Greenhouse Herbalism | 2 | 2s 54c |
| Tanning Rack Leatherworking | 2 | 1s 68c |
| Basic Campfire Cooking | 1 | 55c |
| Enchanted Lute Enchanting | 1 | 54c |
| Novice's Practice Wand Enchanting | 1 | 49c |
| Toxin Study First Aid | 2 | 22c |
| Camp Chair Skinning | 2 | −39c |
 Lesser Magic Wand Enchanting |
1 | −52c |
 Greater Magic Wand Enchanting |
1 | −1s 18c |
| Scroll of Spatial Mending Enchanting | 1 | – |
| Polished Driftwood Icon Enchanting | 1 | – |
| Plague Doctor's Laboratory First Aid | 2 | – |
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