Greenhouse
Consumable · Other · item 279964
Price
Log scale. The gold band is the forecast (Holt-Winters with a daily cycle on the log floor), dark = 80%, light = 95%. Purple marks are sudden moves.
How fast it sells
| Posted at | Seen | 2h | 6h | 12h | 24h | 48h |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at or below floor | 19 | 0% | 44% | 44% | 44% | 44% |
Kaplan-Meier: share of listings sold within each time, by price vs the floor the seller saw when posting. Cancelled, expired and still-listed auctions count as "not sold yet", not as failures. 5 sales out of 20 tracked listings.
Chance to sell, by price
Needs tracked sales to fit a model.
Best posting price
Needs a demand model (tracked sales) first.
Market structure
The biggest single posting holds 37% of listed quantity across 7 postings (HHI 0.229, moderately concentrated). Near the floor right now, one posting holds 100% of the cheap supply.
A "posting" is listings of one item that showed up in the same snapshot at the same price: one seller's batch. The API has no seller names.
Possible flips, last 7 days
| When | Bought at | Relisted at | Qty |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 14 Nov 22:49 | 35s 90c | 49s | 3 |
Recipe links
No material/crafted links for this item yet.
Crafting it
Herbalism: 2× 
Simple Wood 41c, 1× 
Arthas' Tears 19s 53c, 1× 
Purple Lotus 5s 68c
Materials 26s 3c → sells for 34s 10c: 8s 7c per craft
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