Consumable · Device · item 4405 · vendor 1s 25c
Log scale. The gold band is the forecast (Holt-Winters with a daily cycle on the log floor), dark = 80%, light = 95%. Purple marks are sudden moves.
| Posted at | Seen | 2h | 6h | 12h | 24h | 48h |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at or below floor | 33 | 32% | 37% | 37% | 37% | 37% |
Kaplan-Meier: share of listings sold within each time, by price vs the floor the seller saw when posting. Cancelled, expired and still-listed auctions count as "not sold yet", not as failures. 10 sales out of 34 tracked listings.
Needs tracked sales to fit a model.
Needs a demand model (tracked sales) first.
The biggest single posting holds 54% of listed quantity across 6 postings (HHI 0.365, concentrated). Near the floor right now, one posting holds 60% of the cheap supply.
A "posting" is listings of one item that showed up in the same snapshot at the same price: one seller's batch. The API has no seller names.
No material/crafted links for this item yet.
Engineering: 1×
Copper Tube 3s 12c, 1×
Malachite 17c, 1×
Handful of Copper Bolts 2s 38c
Materials 5s 67c → sells for 1s 18c: −4s 49c per craft
| Recipe | Needs | Profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | – |
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