FOREVERAH
Collecting since Sat 14 Nov 14:19: 0.2 of the ~14 days the models need to settle. Price history is real already; demand, pricing and forecasts firm up as data comes in.

Crude Scope

Consumable · Device · item 4405 · vendor 1s 25c

no demand model yet
Floor1s 25ccheapest 1s 25c
Median1s 25cby quantity
Listed13551 listings
Sold / day27avg of last 1 days with sales

Price

Floor (10th pct)MedianCheapest

Log scale. The gold band is the forecast (Holt-Winters with a daily cycle on the log floor), dark = 80%, light = 95%. Purple marks are sudden moves.

ListedSold (est.)

How fast it sells

at or below floor
Posted atSeen2h6h12h24h48h
at or below floor3332%37%37%37%37%

Kaplan-Meier: share of listings sold within each time, by price vs the floor the seller saw when posting. Cancelled, expired and still-listed auctions count as "not sold yet", not as failures. 10 sales out of 34 tracked listings.

Chance to sell, by price

Needs tracked sales to fit a model.

Best posting price

Needs a demand model (tracked sales) first.

Market structure

The biggest single posting holds 54% of listed quantity across 6 postings (HHI 0.365, concentrated). Near the floor right now, one posting holds 60% of the cheap supply.

A "posting" is listings of one item that showed up in the same snapshot at the same price: one seller's batch. The API has no seller names.

Recipe links

No material/crafted links for this item yet.

Crafting it

Engineering: 1× Copper Tube 3s 12c, 1× Malachite 17c, 1× Handful of Copper Bolts 2s 38c

Materials 5s 67c → sells for 1s 18c: −4s 49c per craft

Used to make

RecipeNeedsProfit
Harvester Override Signalcaster Engineering 1 –

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