FOREVERAH
Collecting since Sat 14 Nov 14:19: 0.2 of the ~14 days the models need to settle. Price history is real already; demand, pricing and forecasts firm up as data comes in.

Large Seaforium Charge

Consumable · Explosives · item 4398 · vendor 9s

no demand model yet
Floor14scheapest 14s
Median14sby quantity
Listed946 listings
Sold / day29avg of last 1 days with sales

Price

Floor (10th pct)MedianCheapest

Log scale. The gold band is the forecast (Holt-Winters with a daily cycle on the log floor), dark = 80%, light = 95%. Purple marks are sudden moves.

ListedSold (est.)

How fast it sells

at or below floor
Posted atSeen2h6h12h24h48h
at or below floor60%25%25%25%25%

Kaplan-Meier: share of listings sold within each time, by price vs the floor the seller saw when posting. Cancelled, expired and still-listed auctions count as "not sold yet", not as failures. 1 sales out of 6 tracked listings.

Chance to sell, by price

Needs tracked sales to fit a model.

Best posting price

Needs a demand model (tracked sales) first.

Market structure

The biggest single posting holds 54% of listed quantity across 3 postings (HHI 0.415, concentrated). Near the floor right now, one posting holds 54% of the cheap supply.

A "posting" is listings of one item that showed up in the same snapshot at the same price: one seller's batch. The API has no seller names.

Recipe links

No material/crafted links for this item yet.

Crafting it

Engineering: 2× Solid Blasting Powder 4s 74c, 2× Heavy Leather 1s 97c, 1× Refreshing Spring Water 9c

Materials 13s 51c → sells for 13s 30c: −21c per craft

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