Armor · Leather · item 4243 · vendor 4s 61c
Log scale. The gold band is the forecast (Holt-Winters with a daily cycle on the log floor), dark = 80%, light = 95%. Purple marks are sudden moves.
| Posted at | Seen | 2h | 6h | 12h | 24h | 48h |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at or below floor | 56 | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% |
Kaplan-Meier: share of listings sold within each time, by price vs the floor the seller saw when posting. Cancelled, expired and still-listed auctions count as "not sold yet", not as failures. 1 sales out of 56 tracked listings.
Needs tracked sales to fit a model.
Needs a demand model (tracked sales) first.
The biggest single posting holds 13% of listed quantity across 22 postings (HHI 0.077, competitive). Near the floor right now, one posting holds 20% of the cheap supply.
A "posting" is listings of one item that showed up in the same snapshot at the same price: one seller's batch. The API has no seller names.
No material/crafted links for this item yet.
Leatherworking: 3×
Cured Light Hide 1s 25c, 6×
Light Leather 75c, 4×
Coarse Thread 13c
Materials 8s 77c → sells for 6s 44c: −2s 33c per craft
| Recipe | Needs | Profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | −1s 94c |
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