Armor · Mail · item 3846 · vendor 39s 37c
Log scale. The gold band is the forecast (Holt-Winters with a daily cycle on the log floor), dark = 80%, light = 95%. Purple marks are sudden moves.
| Posted at | Seen | 2h | 6h | 12h | 24h | 48h |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at or below floor | 9 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Kaplan-Meier: share of listings sold within each time, by price vs the floor the seller saw when posting. Cancelled, expired and still-listed auctions count as "not sold yet", not as failures. 0 sales out of 9 tracked listings.
Needs tracked sales to fit a model.
Needs a demand model (tracked sales) first.
The biggest single posting holds 53% of listed quantity across 3 postings (HHI 0.398, concentrated). Near the floor right now, one posting holds 64% of the cheap supply.
A "posting" is listings of one item that showed up in the same snapshot at the same price: one seller's batch. The API has no seller names.
No material/crafted links for this item yet.
Blacksmithing: 8×
Steel Bar 7s 95c, 1×
Citrine 9s, 1×
Lesser Moonstone 6s 15c, 2×
Heavy Grinding Stone 10s 74c
Materials 1g → sells for 47s 50c: −52s 73c per craft
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