Elixir of Wisdom
Consumable · Elixirs · item 3383 · vendor 1s
Price
Log scale. The gold band is the forecast (Holt-Winters with a daily cycle on the log floor), dark = 80%, light = 95%. Purple marks are sudden moves.
How fast it sells
| Posted at | Seen | 2h | 6h | 12h | 24h | 48h |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at or below floor | 54 | 18% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
Kaplan-Meier: share of listings sold within each time, by price vs the floor the seller saw when posting. Cancelled, expired and still-listed auctions count as "not sold yet", not as failures. 9 sales out of 59 tracked listings.
Chance to sell, by price
Needs tracked sales to fit a model.
Best posting price
Needs a demand model (tracked sales) first.
Market structure
The biggest single posting holds 34% of listed quantity across 19 postings (HHI 0.165, moderately concentrated). Near the floor right now, one posting holds 52% of the cheap supply.
A "posting" is listings of one item that showed up in the same snapshot at the same price: one seller's batch. The API has no seller names.
Recipe links
No material/crafted links for this item yet.
Crafting it
Alchemy: 1× 
Mageroyal 1s 11c, 2× 
Briarthorn 1s 24c, 1× 
Empty Vial 6c
Materials 3s 65c → sells for 1s: −2s 65c per craft
Can craft it: Mister
Used to make
| Recipe | Needs | Profit |
|---|---|---|
 Hillman's Belt Leatherworking |
1 | −2s 8c |
 Gloves of Meditation Tailoring |
1 | −12s 17c |
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