Armor · Mail · item 2854 · vendor 2s 25c
Log scale. The gold band is the forecast (Holt-Winters with a daily cycle on the log floor), dark = 80%, light = 95%. Purple marks are sudden moves.
| Posted at | Seen | 2h | 6h | 12h | 24h | 48h |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at or below floor | 91 | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% |
| floor to +10% | 6 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Kaplan-Meier: share of listings sold within each time, by price vs the floor the seller saw when posting. Cancelled, expired and still-listed auctions count as "not sold yet", not as failures. 6 sales out of 99 tracked listings.
Needs tracked sales to fit a model.
Needs a demand model (tracked sales) first.
The biggest single posting holds 20% of listed quantity across 19 postings (HHI 0.118, competitive). Near the floor right now, one posting holds 31% of the cheap supply.
A "posting" is listings of one item that showed up in the same snapshot at the same price: one seller's batch. The API has no seller names.
No material/crafted links for this item yet.
Blacksmithing: 10×
Copper Bar 2s, 3×
Rough Grinding Stone 6c
Materials 20s 18c → sells for 2s 80c: −17s 38c per craft
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