FOREVERAH
Collecting since Sat 14 Nov 14:19: 0.2 of the ~14 days the models need to settle. Price history is real already; demand, pricing and forecasts firm up as data comes in.

Minor Rejuvenation Potion

Consumable · Potions · item 2456 · vendor 15c

no demand model yet
Floor15ccheapest 15c
Median15cby quantity
Listed753146 listings
Sold / day45avg of last 1 days with sales

Price

Floor (10th pct)MedianCheapest

Log scale. The gold band is the forecast (Holt-Winters with a daily cycle on the log floor), dark = 80%, light = 95%. Purple marks are sudden moves.

ListedSold (est.)

How fast it sells

at or below floorover +30%
Posted atSeen2h6h12h24h48h
at or below floor737%14%14%14%14%
over +30%50%0%0%0%0%

Kaplan-Meier: share of listings sold within each time, by price vs the floor the seller saw when posting. Cancelled, expired and still-listed auctions count as "not sold yet", not as failures. 6 sales out of 78 tracked listings.

Chance to sell, by price

Needs tracked sales to fit a model.

Best posting price

Needs a demand model (tracked sales) first.

Market structure

The biggest single posting holds 45% of listed quantity across 18 postings (HHI 0.245, moderately concentrated). Near the floor right now, one posting holds 56% of the cheap supply.

A "posting" is listings of one item that showed up in the same snapshot at the same price: one seller's batch. The API has no seller names.

Possible flips, last 7 days

WhenBought atRelisted atQty
Sat 14 Nov 15:4915c20c5
Sat 14 Nov 15:4915c20c5

Recipe links

No material/crafted links for this item yet.

Crafting it

Alchemy: 2× Mageroyal 1s 8c, 1× Peacebloom 90c, 1× Empty Vial 6c

Materials 3s 12c → sells for 14c: −2s 98c per craft

Can craft it: Mister

Used to make

RecipeNeedsProfit
Mildly Irradiated Rejuvenation Potion Alchemy 1 –

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