Consumable · Permanent · item 2313 · vendor 2s
Log scale. The gold band is the forecast (Holt-Winters with a daily cycle on the log floor), dark = 80%, light = 95%. Purple marks are sudden moves.
| Posted at | Seen | 2h | 6h | 12h | 24h | 48h |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at or below floor | 83 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| over +30% | 33 | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% |
Kaplan-Meier: share of listings sold within each time, by price vs the floor the seller saw when posting. Cancelled, expired and still-listed auctions count as "not sold yet", not as failures. 1 sales out of 116 tracked listings.
Needs tracked sales to fit a model.
Needs a demand model (tracked sales) first.
The biggest single posting holds 16% of listed quantity across 20 postings (HHI 0.098, competitive). Near the floor right now, one posting holds 56% of the cheap supply.
A "posting" is listings of one item that showed up in the same snapshot at the same price: one seller's batch. The API has no seller names.
| When | Bought at | Relisted at | Qty |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 14 Nov 14:49 | 3s | 3s 99c | 1 |
| Sat 14 Nov 14:49 | 3s | 3s 99c | 1 |
| Sat 14 Nov 14:49 | 3s | 3s 99c | 1 |
| Sat 14 Nov 14:49 | 2s 50c | 3s 99c | 1 |
| Sat 14 Nov 14:49 | 2s 45c | 3s 99c | 1 |
| Sat 14 Nov 14:49 | 2s 45c | 3s 99c | 1 |
| Sat 14 Nov 14:49 | 2s 45c | 3s 99c | 1 |
| Sat 14 Nov 14:49 | 2s 45c | 3s 99c | 1 |
| Sat 14 Nov 14:49 | 2s 45c | 3s 99c | 1 |
| Sat 14 Nov 14:49 | 2s 45c | 3s 99c | 1 |
No material/crafted links for this item yet.
Leatherworking: 4×
Medium Leather 99c, 1×
Coarse Thread 13c
Materials 4s 9c → sells for 2s 84c: −1s 25c per craft
| Recipe | Needs | Profit |
|---|---|---|
| Mystic Medium Armor Kit Leatherworking | 1 | 2s 24c |
| Forceful Medium Armor Kit Leatherworking | 1 | 36c |
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