Lesser Mana Oil
Trade Goods · Enchanting · item 20747 · vendor 10s
Price
Log scale. The gold band is the forecast (Holt-Winters with a daily cycle on the log floor), dark = 80%, light = 95%. Purple marks are sudden moves.
How fast it sells
| Posted at | Seen | 2h | 6h | 12h | 24h | 48h |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at or below floor | 198 | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| over +30% | 36 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Kaplan-Meier: share of listings sold within each time, by price vs the floor the seller saw when posting. Cancelled, expired and still-listed auctions count as "not sold yet", not as failures. 10 sales out of 234 tracked listings.
Chance to sell, by price
Needs tracked sales to fit a model.
Best posting price
Needs a demand model (tracked sales) first.
Market structure
The biggest single posting holds 44% of listed quantity across 5 postings (HHI 0.29, concentrated). Near the floor right now, one posting holds 79% of the cheap supply.
A "posting" is listings of one item that showed up in the same snapshot at the same price: one seller's batch. The API has no seller names.
Possible flips, last 7 days
| When | Bought at | Relisted at | Qty |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 14 Nov 15:49 | 11s | 55s | 1 |
| Sat 14 Nov 15:49 | 11s | 55s | 1 |
| Sat 14 Nov 15:49 | 11s | 55s | 1 |
| Sat 14 Nov 15:49 | 11s | 55s | 1 |
| Sat 14 Nov 15:49 | 11s | 55s | 1 |
| Sat 14 Nov 15:49 | 11s | 55s | 1 |
| Sat 14 Nov 15:49 | 11s | 55s | 1 |
| Sat 14 Nov 15:49 | 11s | 55s | 1 |
| Sat 14 Nov 15:49 | 11s | 55s | 1 |
| Sat 14 Nov 15:49 | 11s | 55s | 1 |
Recipe links
No material/crafted links for this item yet.
Crafting it
Enchanting: 1× 
Dream Dust 30s 98c, 1× 
Purple Lotus 7s 12c, 1× 
Crystal Vial 5s
Materials 43s 10c → sells for 47s 50c: 4s 40c per craft
Alerts for this item
Sign in to set alerts.