Armor · Cloth · item 14107 · vendor 1g 31s
Log scale. The gold band is the forecast (Holt-Winters with a daily cycle on the log floor), dark = 80%, light = 95%. Purple marks are sudden moves.
| Posted at | Seen | 2h | 6h | 12h | 24h | 48h |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at or below floor | 6 | 0% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
Kaplan-Meier: share of listings sold within each time, by price vs the floor the seller saw when posting. Cancelled, expired and still-listed auctions count as "not sold yet", not as failures. 1 sales out of 10 tracked listings.
Needs tracked sales to fit a model.
Needs a demand model (tracked sales) first.
The biggest single posting holds 67% of listed quantity across 2 postings (HHI 0.556, concentrated). Near the floor right now, one posting holds 67% of the cheap supply.
A "posting" is listings of one item that showed up in the same snapshot at the same price: one seller's batch. The API has no seller names.
No material/crafted links for this item yet.
Tailoring: 5×
Bolt of Runecloth 34s 80c, 4×
Felcloth 80s 93c, 1×
Rune Thread 48s 88c
Materials 5g 46s → sells for 9g 40s: 3g 93s per craft
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