Dense Grinding Stone
Trade Goods · Metal & Stone · item 12644 · vendor 2s
Price
Log scale. The gold band is the forecast (Holt-Winters with a daily cycle on the log floor), dark = 80%, light = 95%. Purple marks are sudden moves.
How fast it sells
| Posted at | Seen | 2h | 6h | 12h | 24h | 48h |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at or below floor | 45 | 18% | 35% | 35% | 35% | 35% |
Kaplan-Meier: share of listings sold within each time, by price vs the floor the seller saw when posting. Cancelled, expired and still-listed auctions count as "not sold yet", not as failures. 8 sales out of 48 tracked listings.
Chance to sell, by price
Needs tracked sales to fit a model.
Best posting price
Needs a demand model (tracked sales) first.
Market structure
The biggest single posting holds 36% of listed quantity across 12 postings (HHI 0.247, moderately concentrated). Near the floor right now, one posting holds 66% of the cheap supply.
A "posting" is listings of one item that showed up in the same snapshot at the same price: one seller's batch. The API has no seller names.
Recipe links
No material/crafted links for this item yet.
Crafting it
Blacksmithing: 4× 
Dense Stone 4s 88c
Materials 19s 52c → sells for 28s 46c: 8s 94c per craft
Used to make
| Recipe | Needs | Profit |
|---|---|---|
 Arcanite Rod Blacksmithing |
1 | 24g 97s |
 Thorium Shield Spike Blacksmithing |
4 | 6g 82s |
 Thorium Greatsword Blacksmithing |
2 | – |
 Bleakwood Hew Blacksmithing |
2 | – |
 Ornate Thorium Handaxe Blacksmithing |
2 | – |
 Dawn's Edge Blacksmithing |
2 | – |
 Huge Thorium Battleaxe Blacksmithing |
6 | – |
 Blazing Rapier Blacksmithing |
2 | – |
 Rune Edge Blacksmithing |
2 | – |
 Corruption Blacksmithing |
2 | – |
 Blood Talon Blacksmithing |
2 | – |
 Darkspear Blacksmithing |
2 | – |
 Arcanite Champion Blacksmithing |
2 | – |
| Annihilator Blacksmithing |
2 | – |
 Frostguard Blacksmithing |
2 | – |
 Arcanite Reaper Blacksmithing |
2 | – |
 Heartseeker Blacksmithing |
4 | – |
 Arcanite Skeleton Key Blacksmithing |
1 | – |
 Desecration Blacksmithing |
2 | – |
 Deadly Heartseeker Blacksmithing |
4 | – |
 Thorium Greatmace Blacksmithing |
2 | – |
 Thorium Cestus Blacksmithing |
1 | – |
 Stormcarver Blacksmithing |
2 | – |
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