Consumable · Device · item 11590 · vendor 2s 50c
Log scale. The gold band is the forecast (Holt-Winters with a daily cycle on the log floor), dark = 80%, light = 95%. Purple marks are sudden moves.
| Posted at | Seen | 2h | 6h | 12h | 24h | 48h |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at or below floor | 23 | 15% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
Kaplan-Meier: share of listings sold within each time, by price vs the floor the seller saw when posting. Cancelled, expired and still-listed auctions count as "not sold yet", not as failures. 9 sales out of 25 tracked listings.
Needs tracked sales to fit a model.
Needs a demand model (tracked sales) first.
The biggest single posting holds 36% of listed quantity across 4 postings (HHI 0.296, concentrated). Near the floor right now, one posting holds 36% of the cheap supply.
A "posting" is listings of one item that showed up in the same snapshot at the same price: one seller's batch. The API has no seller names.
No material/crafted links for this item yet.
Engineering: 1×
Mithril Bar 10s 9c, 1×
Mageweave Cloth 4s 74c, 1×
Solid Blasting Powder 4s 25c
Materials 19s 8c → sells for 23s 94c: 4s 86c per craft
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