Magic Resistance Potion
Consumable · Potions · item 9036 · vendor 20c
Price
Log scale. The gold band is the forecast (Holt-Winters with a daily cycle on the log floor), dark = 80%, light = 95%. Purple marks are sudden moves.
How fast it sells
| Posted at | Seen | 2h | 6h | 12h | 24h | 48h |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at or below floor | 45 | 7% | 31% | 31% | 31% | 31% |
| over +30% | 10 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Kaplan-Meier: share of listings sold within each time, by price vs the floor the seller saw when posting. Cancelled, expired and still-listed auctions count as "not sold yet", not as failures. 7 sales out of 55 tracked listings.
Chance to sell, by price
Needs tracked sales to fit a model.
Best posting price
Needs a demand model (tracked sales) first.
Market structure
The biggest single posting holds 24% of listed quantity across 9 postings (HHI 0.172, moderately concentrated). Near the floor right now, one posting holds 100% of the cheap supply.
A "posting" is listings of one item that showed up in the same snapshot at the same price: one seller's batch. The API has no seller names.
Possible flips, last 7 days
| When | Bought at | Relisted at | Qty |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 14 Nov 17:49 | 2s 95c | 3s 75c | 1 |
| Sat 14 Nov 17:49 | 2s 80c | 3s 75c | 1 |
| Sat 14 Nov 17:49 | 2s 80c | 3s 75c | 1 |
| Sat 14 Nov 17:49 | 2s 99c | 3s 75c | 10 |
| Sat 14 Nov 17:49 | 2s 99c | 3s 75c | 10 |
| Sat 14 Nov 17:49 | 2s 95c | 3s 75c | 10 |
| Sat 14 Nov 17:49 | 2s 95c | 3s 75c | 1 |
| Sat 14 Nov 17:49 | 2s 80c | 3s 75c | 1 |
| Sat 14 Nov 17:49 | 2s 80c | 3s 75c | 1 |
| Sat 14 Nov 17:49 | 2s 95c | 3s 75c | 1 |
Recipe links
No material/crafted links for this item yet.
Crafting it
Alchemy: 1× 
Khadgar's Whisker 2s 85c, 1× 
Purple Lotus 6s 40c, 1× 
Crystal Vial 5s 49c
Materials 14s 74c → sells for 3s 32c: −11s 42c per craft
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