FOREVERAH

Collecting since Sat 14 Nov 14:19: 0.2 of the ~14 days the models need to settle. Price history is real already; demand, pricing and forecasts firm up as data comes in.

Thistle Tea

Consumable · Food & Drink · item 7676 · vendor 30c

no demand model yet

Floor8s 99ccheapest 8s 70c

Median11s 99cby quantity

Listed1,70875 listings

Sold / day336avg of last 1 days with sales

Price

Floor (10th pct)MedianCheapest

Log scale. The gold band is the forecast (Holt-Winters with a daily cycle on the log floor), dark = 80%, light = 95%. Purple marks are sudden moves.

ListedSold (est.)

How fast it sells

at or below floor

Posted at	Seen	2h	6h	12h	24h	48h
at or below floor	33	17%	17%	17%	17%	17%

Kaplan-Meier: share of listings sold within each time, by price vs the floor the seller saw when posting. Cancelled, expired and still-listed auctions count as "not sold yet", not as failures. 5 sales out of 40 tracked listings.

Chance to sell, by price

Needs tracked sales to fit a model.

Best posting price

Needs a demand model (tracked sales) first.

Market structure

The biggest single posting holds 25% of listed quantity across 34 postings (HHI 0.104, competitive). Near the floor right now, one posting holds 32% of the cheap supply.

A "posting" is listings of one item that showed up in the same snapshot at the same price: one seller's batch. The API has no seller names.

Possible flips, last 7 days

When	Bought at	Relisted at	Qty
Sat 14 Nov 15:49	8s 99c	11s 99c	10
Sat 14 Nov 15:49	8s 99c	11s 99c	10
Sat 14 Nov 15:49	8s 99c	11s 99c	10
Sat 14 Nov 15:49	8s 98c	11s 99c	10
Sat 14 Nov 15:49	8s 98c	11s 99c	10
Sat 14 Nov 15:49	8s 88c	11s 99c	10

Recipe links

No material/crafted links for this item yet.

Crafting it

Cooking: 1× Swiftthistle 8s 23c, 1× Refreshing Spring Water 9c

Materials 8s 32c → sells for 8s 54c: 22c per craft

Can craft it: John, Nethiri