FOREVERAH
Collecting since Sat 14 Nov 14:19: 0.3 of the ~14 days the models need to settle. Price history is real already; demand, pricing and forecasts firm up as data comes in.

Heavy Quiver

Quiver · Quiver · item 7371 · vendor 5s

no demand model yet
Floor13scheapest 12s
Median13s 48cby quantity
Listed139139 listings
Sold / day22avg of last 1 days with sales

Price

Floor (10th pct)MedianCheapest

Log scale. The gold band is the forecast (Holt-Winters with a daily cycle on the log floor), dark = 80%, light = 95%. Purple marks are sudden moves.

ListedSold (est.)

How fast it sells

at or below floorfloor to +10%over +30%
Posted atSeen2h6h12h24h48h
at or below floor2014%4%4%4%4%
floor to +10%120%0%0%0%0%
over +30%80%0%0%0%0%

Kaplan-Meier: share of listings sold within each time, by price vs the floor the seller saw when posting. Cancelled, expired and still-listed auctions count as "not sold yet", not as failures. 7 sales out of 224 tracked listings.

Chance to sell, by price

Needs tracked sales to fit a model.

Best posting price

Needs a demand model (tracked sales) first.

Market structure

The biggest single posting holds 19% of listed quantity across 26 postings (HHI 0.091, competitive). Near the floor right now, one posting holds 36% of the cheap supply.

A "posting" is listings of one item that showed up in the same snapshot at the same price: one seller's batch. The API has no seller names.

Possible flips, last 7 days

WhenBought atRelisted atQty
Sat 14 Nov 18:4913s 47c60s 47c1
Sat 14 Nov 18:4913s 47c60s 47c1
Sat 14 Nov 18:4913s 47c60s 47c1
Sat 14 Nov 18:4913s 45c60s 47c1
Sat 14 Nov 18:4913s 45c60s 47c1
Sat 14 Nov 18:4913s 45c60s 47c1
Sat 14 Nov 18:4913s 45c60s 47c1
Sat 14 Nov 18:4913s 47c60s 47c1
Sat 14 Nov 18:4913s 47c60s 47c1
Sat 14 Nov 18:4913s 47c60s 47c1

Recipe links

No material/crafted links for this item yet.

Crafting it

Leatherworking: 8× Heavy Leather 1s 97c, 2× Fine Thread 1s

Materials 17s 76c → sells for 12s 35c: −5s 41c per craft

Can craft it: John, Nethiri

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