Small Leather Ammo Pouch
Quiver · Ammo Pouch · item 7279 · vendor 25c
Price
Log scale. The gold band is the forecast (Holt-Winters with a daily cycle on the log floor), dark = 80%, light = 95%. Purple marks are sudden moves.
How fast it sells
| Posted at | Seen | 2h | 6h | 12h | 24h | 48h |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at or below floor | 186 | 2% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 4% |
| +10% to +30% | 14 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| over +30% | 5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Kaplan-Meier: share of listings sold within each time, by price vs the floor the seller saw when posting. Cancelled, expired and still-listed auctions count as "not sold yet", not as failures. 5 sales out of 205 tracked listings.
Chance to sell, by price
Needs tracked sales to fit a model.
Best posting price
Needs a demand model (tracked sales) first.
Market structure
The biggest single posting holds 33% of listed quantity across 12 postings (HHI 0.188, moderately concentrated). Near the floor right now, one posting holds 36% of the cheap supply.
A "posting" is listings of one item that showed up in the same snapshot at the same price: one seller's batch. The API has no seller names.
Possible flips, last 7 days
| When | Bought at | Relisted at | Qty |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 14 Nov 18:49 | 1s | 3s | 1 |
| Sat 14 Nov 17:49 | 1s | 2s | 1 |
| Sat 14 Nov 17:49 | 1s | 2s | 1 |
| Sat 14 Nov 17:49 | 1s | 2s | 1 |
| Sat 14 Nov 17:49 | 1s | 2s | 1 |
| Sat 14 Nov 17:49 | 1s | 2s | 1 |
| Sat 14 Nov 17:49 | 1s | 2s | 1 |
| Sat 14 Nov 17:49 | 1s | 2s | 1 |
| Sat 14 Nov 17:49 | 1s | 2s | 1 |
| Sat 14 Nov 17:49 | 1s | 2s | 1 |
Recipe links
No material/crafted links for this item yet.
Crafting it
Leatherworking: 3× 
Light Leather 70c, 4× 
Coarse Thread 13c
Materials 2s 62c → sells for 95c: −1s 67c per craft
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