Armor · Leather · item 7277 · vendor 28c
Log scale. The gold band is the forecast (Holt-Winters with a daily cycle on the log floor), dark = 80%, light = 95%. Purple marks are sudden moves.
| Posted at | Seen | 2h | 6h | 12h | 24h | 48h |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at or below floor | 53 | 2% | 38% | 38% | 38% | 38% |
| over +30% | 17 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Kaplan-Meier: share of listings sold within each time, by price vs the floor the seller saw when posting. Cancelled, expired and still-listed auctions count as "not sold yet", not as failures. 19 sales out of 70 tracked listings.
Needs tracked sales to fit a model.
Needs a demand model (tracked sales) first.
The biggest single posting holds 40% of listed quantity across 16 postings (HHI 0.243, moderately concentrated). Near the floor right now, one posting holds 91% of the cheap supply.
A "posting" is listings of one item that showed up in the same snapshot at the same price: one seller's batch. The API has no seller names.
| When | Bought at | Relisted at | Qty |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 14 Nov 17:49 | 1s 30c | 17s 30c | 1 |
| Sat 14 Nov 17:49 | 1s 30c | 17s 30c | 1 |
| Sat 14 Nov 14:49 | 1s | 1s 50c | 1 |
| Sat 14 Nov 14:49 | 1s | 1s 50c | 1 |
| Sat 14 Nov 14:49 | 1s | 1s 50c | 1 |
| Sat 14 Nov 14:49 | 1s | 1s 50c | 1 |
| Sat 14 Nov 14:49 | 1s | 1s 50c | 1 |
| Sat 14 Nov 14:49 | 1s | 1s 50c | 1 |
| Sat 14 Nov 14:49 | 1s | 1s 50c | 1 |
| Sat 14 Nov 14:49 | 1s | 1s 50c | 1 |
No material/crafted links for this item yet.
Leatherworking: 2×
Light Leather 67c, 3×
Coarse Thread 13c
Materials 1s 73c → sells for 1s 23c: −50c per craft
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