Armor · Mail · item 6350 · vendor 2s 95c
Log scale. The gold band is the forecast (Holt-Winters with a daily cycle on the log floor), dark = 80%, light = 95%. Purple marks are sudden moves.
| Posted at | Seen | 2h | 6h | 12h | 24h | 48h |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at or below floor | 37 | 21% | 21% | 21% | 21% | 21% |
Kaplan-Meier: share of listings sold within each time, by price vs the floor the seller saw when posting. Cancelled, expired and still-listed auctions count as "not sold yet", not as failures. 6 sales out of 40 tracked listings.
Needs tracked sales to fit a model.
Needs a demand model (tracked sales) first.
The biggest single posting holds 36% of listed quantity across 14 postings (HHI 0.185, moderately concentrated). Near the floor right now, one posting holds 53% of the cheap supply.
A "posting" is listings of one item that showed up in the same snapshot at the same price: one seller's batch. The API has no seller names.
| When | Bought at | Relisted at | Qty |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 14 Nov 16:49 | 2s 95c | 40s 95c | 1 |
| Sat 14 Nov 16:49 | 2s 95c | 40s 95c | 1 |
| Sat 14 Nov 16:49 | 2s 95c | 40s 95c | 1 |
| Sat 14 Nov 16:49 | 2s 95c | 40s 95c | 1 |
| Sat 14 Nov 16:49 | 2s 95c | 40s 95c | 1 |
| Sat 14 Nov 16:49 | 2s 95c | 40s 95c | 1 |
| Sat 14 Nov 16:49 | 2s 95c | 23s 95c | 1 |
| Sat 14 Nov 16:49 | 2s 95c | 23s 95c | 1 |
| Sat 14 Nov 16:49 | 2s 95c | 23s 95c | 1 |
| Sat 14 Nov 16:49 | 2s 95c | 23s 95c | 1 |
No material/crafted links for this item yet.
Blacksmithing: 6×
Bronze Bar 1s 92c, 6×
Rough Grinding Stone 6c
Materials 11s 88c → sells for 2s 80c: −9s 8c per craft
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