Handstitched Leather Vest
Armor · Leather · item 5957 · vendor 40c
Price
Log scale. The gold band is the forecast (Holt-Winters with a daily cycle on the log floor), dark = 80%, light = 95%. Purple marks are sudden moves.
How fast it sells
| Posted at | Seen | 2h | 6h | 12h | 24h | 48h |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at or below floor | 115 | 18% | 18% | 18% | 18% | 18% |
| over +30% | 6 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Kaplan-Meier: share of listings sold within each time, by price vs the floor the seller saw when posting. Cancelled, expired and still-listed auctions count as "not sold yet", not as failures. 16 sales out of 122 tracked listings.
Chance to sell, by price
Needs tracked sales to fit a model.
Best posting price
Needs a demand model (tracked sales) first.
Market structure
The biggest single posting holds 27% of listed quantity across 13 postings (HHI 0.16, moderately concentrated). Near the floor right now, one posting holds 34% of the cheap supply.
A "posting" is listings of one item that showed up in the same snapshot at the same price: one seller's batch. The API has no seller names.
Possible flips, last 7 days
| When | Bought at | Relisted at | Qty |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 14 Nov 18:49 | 1s 50c | 10g | 1 |
| Sat 14 Nov 18:49 | 1s 50c | 10g | 1 |
| Sat 14 Nov 18:49 | 1s 50c | 10g | 1 |
| Sat 14 Nov 18:49 | 1s 50c | 19s 99c | 1 |
| Sat 14 Nov 18:49 | 1s 50c | 19s 99c | 1 |
| Sat 14 Nov 18:49 | 1s 50c | 19s 99c | 1 |
| Sat 14 Nov 18:49 | 1s 50c | 19s 99c | 1 |
| Sat 14 Nov 18:49 | 1s 50c | 19s 99c | 1 |
| Sat 14 Nov 18:49 | 1s 50c | 19s 99c | 1 |
| Sat 14 Nov 16:49 | 1s 60c | 19s 99c | 1 |
Recipe links
No material/crafted links for this item yet.
Crafting it
Leatherworking: 3× 
Light Leather 70c, 1× 
Coarse Thread 13c
Materials 2s 23c → sells for 1s 52c: −71c per craft
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