FOREVERAH

Collecting since Sat 14 Nov 14:19: 0.2 of the ~14 days the models need to settle. Price history is real already; demand, pricing and forecasts firm up as data comes in.

Lesser Stoneshield Potion

Consumable · Potions · item 4623 · vendor 3s 75c

no demand model yet

Floor9s 97ccheapest 9s 50c

Median11s 69cby quantity

Listed380137 listings

Sold / day10avg of last 1 days with sales

Price

Floor (10th pct)MedianCheapest

Log scale. The gold band is the forecast (Holt-Winters with a daily cycle on the log floor), dark = 80%, light = 95%. Purple marks are sudden moves.

ListedSold (est.)

How fast it sells

at or below floor

Posted at	Seen	2h	6h	12h	24h	48h
at or below floor	125	2%	2%	2%	2%	2%

Kaplan-Meier: share of listings sold within each time, by price vs the floor the seller saw when posting. Cancelled, expired and still-listed auctions count as "not sold yet", not as failures. 2 sales out of 126 tracked listings.

Chance to sell, by price

Needs tracked sales to fit a model.

Best posting price

Needs a demand model (tracked sales) first.

Market structure

The biggest single posting holds 19% of listed quantity across 24 postings (HHI 0.09, competitive). Near the floor right now, one posting holds 43% of the cheap supply.

A "posting" is listings of one item that showed up in the same snapshot at the same price: one seller's batch. The API has no seller names.

Possible flips, last 7 days

When	Bought at	Relisted at	Qty
Sat 14 Nov 15:49	8s 70c	11s 69c	2
Sat 14 Nov 15:49	8s 70c	11s 69c	2
Sat 14 Nov 15:49	8s 70c	11s 69c	2
Sat 14 Nov 15:49	8s 70c	11s 69c	2
Sat 14 Nov 15:49	8s 70c	11s 69c	2
Sat 14 Nov 15:49	8s 70c	11s 69c	2
Sat 14 Nov 15:49	8s 70c	11s 69c	2
Sat 14 Nov 15:49	8s 70c	11s 69c	2
Sat 14 Nov 15:49	8s 70c	11s 70c	2
Sat 14 Nov 15:49	8s 70c	11s 70c	2

Recipe links

No material/crafted links for this item yet.

Crafting it

Alchemy: 1× Mithril Ore 9s 45c, 1× Goldthorn 4s 10c, 1× Leaded Vial 49c

Materials 14s 4c → sells for 9s 47c: −4s 57c per craft