Armor · Cloth · item 4385 · vendor 14s 10c
Log scale. The gold band is the forecast (Holt-Winters with a daily cycle on the log floor), dark = 80%, light = 95%. Purple marks are sudden moves.
| Posted at | Seen | 2h | 6h | 12h | 24h | 48h |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at or below floor | 19 | 18% | 18% | 18% | 18% | 18% |
Kaplan-Meier: share of listings sold within each time, by price vs the floor the seller saw when posting. Cancelled, expired and still-listed auctions count as "not sold yet", not as failures. 3 sales out of 20 tracked listings.
Needs tracked sales to fit a model.
Needs a demand model (tracked sales) first.
The biggest single posting holds 39% of listed quantity across 16 postings (HHI 0.209, moderately concentrated). Near the floor right now, one posting holds 75% of the cheap supply.
A "posting" is listings of one item that showed up in the same snapshot at the same price: one seller's batch. The API has no seller names.
No material/crafted links for this item yet.
Engineering: 4×
Medium Leather 99c, 2×
Moss Agate 7s 84c, 1×
Flying Tiger Goggles 4s 69c
Materials 24s 33c → sells for 16s 99c: −7s 34c per craft
| Recipe | Needs | Profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 37s 36c |
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