Armor · Leather · item 4254 · vendor 10s 71c
Log scale. The gold band is the forecast (Holt-Winters with a daily cycle on the log floor), dark = 80%, light = 95%. Purple marks are sudden moves.
| Posted at | Seen | 2h | 6h | 12h | 24h | 48h |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at or below floor | 147 | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% |
Kaplan-Meier: share of listings sold within each time, by price vs the floor the seller saw when posting. Cancelled, expired and still-listed auctions count as "not sold yet", not as failures. 9 sales out of 147 tracked listings.
Needs tracked sales to fit a model.
Needs a demand model (tracked sales) first.
The biggest single posting holds 17% of listed quantity across 17 postings (HHI 0.104, competitive). Near the floor right now, one posting holds 82% of the cheap supply.
A "posting" is listings of one item that showed up in the same snapshot at the same price: one seller's batch. The API has no seller names.
No material/crafted links for this item yet.
Leatherworking: 6×
Heavy Leather 2s 10c, 2×
Large Fang 79c, 1×
Fine Thread 94c
Materials 15s 12c → sells for 14s 25c: −87c per craft
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