Frost Oil
Consumable · Other · item 3829 · vendor 1s 50c
Price
Log scale. The gold band is the forecast (Holt-Winters with a daily cycle on the log floor), dark = 80%, light = 95%. Purple marks are sudden moves.
How fast it sells
| Posted at | Seen | 2h | 6h | 12h | 24h | 48h |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at or below floor | 27 | 7% | 20% | 20% | 20% | 20% |
Kaplan-Meier: share of listings sold within each time, by price vs the floor the seller saw when posting. Cancelled, expired and still-listed auctions count as "not sold yet", not as failures. 2 sales out of 27 tracked listings.
Chance to sell, by price
Needs tracked sales to fit a model.
Best posting price
Needs a demand model (tracked sales) first.
Market structure
The biggest single posting holds 35% of listed quantity across 16 postings (HHI 0.176, moderately concentrated). Near the floor right now, one posting holds 62% of the cheap supply.
A "posting" is listings of one item that showed up in the same snapshot at the same price: one seller's batch. The API has no seller names.
Recipe links
No material/crafted links for this item yet.
Crafting it
Alchemy: 4× 
Khadgar's Whisker 3s 29c, 2× 
Wintersbite 12s, 1× 
Leaded Vial 50c
Materials 37s 66c → sells for 43s 70c: 6s 4c per craft
Used to make
| Recipe | Needs | Profit |
|---|---|---|
 Icy Cloak Tailoring |
1 | 2g 37s |
 Ice Deflector Engineering |
1 | −20s 69c |
 Frost Tiger Blade Blacksmithing |
1 | −60s 50c |
 Edge of Winter Blacksmithing |
1 | – |
 Snowmaster 9000 Engineering |
1 | – |
 Gyrofreeze Ice Reflector Engineering |
2 | – |
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