FOREVERAH
Collecting since Sat 14 Nov 14:19: 0.2 of the ~14 days the models need to settle. Price history is real already; demand, pricing and forecasts firm up as data comes in.

Gemmed Copper Gauntlets

Armor · Mail · item 3474 · vendor 2s 16c

no demand model yet
Floor3s 97ccheapest 3s 97c
Median12s 99cby quantity
Listed2424 listings
Sold / day13avg of last 1 days with sales

Price

Floor (10th pct)MedianCheapest

Log scale. The gold band is the forecast (Holt-Winters with a daily cycle on the log floor), dark = 80%, light = 95%. Purple marks are sudden moves.

ListedSold (est.)

How fast it sells

at or below floorover +30%
Posted atSeen2h6h12h24h48h
at or below floor920%100%100%100%100%
over +30%1120%20%20%20%20%

Kaplan-Meier: share of listings sold within each time, by price vs the floor the seller saw when posting. Cancelled, expired and still-listed auctions count as "not sold yet", not as failures. 5 sales out of 20 tracked listings.

Chance to sell, by price

Needs tracked sales to fit a model.

Best posting price

Needs a demand model (tracked sales) first.

Market structure

The biggest single posting holds 29% of listed quantity across 14 postings (HHI 0.132, competitive). Near the floor right now, one posting holds 60% of the cheap supply.

A "posting" is listings of one item that showed up in the same snapshot at the same price: one seller's batch. The API has no seller names.

Possible flips, last 7 days

WhenBought atRelisted atQty
Sat 14 Nov 18:494s 98c9s1
Sat 14 Nov 17:499s19s 99c1
Sat 14 Nov 17:494s 98c19s 99c1
Sat 14 Nov 17:499s19s 98c1
Sat 14 Nov 17:494s 98c19s 98c1
Sat 14 Nov 17:4929s1g 11s1
Sat 14 Nov 17:499s1g 11s1
Sat 14 Nov 17:494s 98c1g 11s1
Sat 14 Nov 17:499s20s1
Sat 14 Nov 17:494s 98c20s1

Recipe links

No material/crafted links for this item yet.

Crafting it

Blacksmithing: 8× Copper Bar 2s, 1× Tigerseye 1s 28c, 1× Malachite 15c

Materials 17s 43c → sells for 3s 77c: −13s 66c per craft

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