Armor · Mail · item 2870 · vendor 29s 35c
Log scale. The gold band is the forecast (Holt-Winters with a daily cycle on the log floor), dark = 80%, light = 95%. Purple marks are sudden moves.
| Posted at | Seen | 2h | 6h | 12h | 24h | 48h |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at or below floor | 19 | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
Kaplan-Meier: share of listings sold within each time, by price vs the floor the seller saw when posting. Cancelled, expired and still-listed auctions count as "not sold yet", not as failures. 12 sales out of 20 tracked listings.
Needs tracked sales to fit a model.
Needs a demand model (tracked sales) first.
The biggest single posting holds 33% of listed quantity across 12 postings (HHI 0.17, moderately concentrated). Near the floor right now, one posting holds 38% of the cheap supply.
A "posting" is listings of one item that showed up in the same snapshot at the same price: one seller's batch. The API has no seller names.
| When | Bought at | Relisted at | Qty |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 14 Nov 15:49 | 79s | 1g 79s | 1 |
| Sat 14 Nov 15:49 | 79s | 1g 79s | 1 |
| Sat 14 Nov 15:49 | 78s | 1g 79s | 1 |
| Sat 14 Nov 15:49 | 78s | 1g 79s | 1 |
| Sat 14 Nov 15:49 | 78s | 1g 79s | 1 |
No material/crafted links for this item yet.
Blacksmithing: 20×
Bronze Bar 1s 92c, 2×
Moss Agate 7s 84c, 2×
Lesser Moonstone 6s 42c, 2×
Iridescent Pearl 8s 9c, 4×
Silver Bar 3s 10c
Materials 95s 50c → sells for 75s 5c: −20s 45c per craft
Can craft it: Didgood
| Recipe | Needs | Profit |
|---|---|---|
| Shifting Silver Breastplate Blacksmithing | 1 | – |
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