FOREVERAH

Collecting since Sat 14 Nov 14:19: 0.1 of the ~14 days the models need to settle. Price history is real already; demand, pricing and forecasts firm up as data comes in.

First Aid Kit

Consumable · Other · item 279968

no demand model yet

Floor1s 9ccheapest 1s 6c

Median1s 60cby quantity

Listed2,622200 listings

Sold / day59avg of last 1 days with sales

Price

Floor (10th pct)MedianCheapest

Log scale. The gold band is the forecast (Holt-Winters with a daily cycle on the log floor), dark = 80%, light = 95%. Purple marks are sudden moves.

ListedSold (est.)

How fast it sells

at or below floor

Posted at	Seen	2h	6h	12h	24h	48h
at or below floor	91	6%	6%	6%	6%	6%

Kaplan-Meier: share of listings sold within each time, by price vs the floor the seller saw when posting. Cancelled, expired and still-listed auctions count as "not sold yet", not as failures. 4 sales out of 91 tracked listings.

Chance to sell, by price

Needs tracked sales to fit a model.

Best posting price

Needs a demand model (tracked sales) first.

Market structure

The biggest single posting holds 22% of listed quantity across 45 postings (HHI 0.092, competitive). Near the floor right now, one posting holds 26% of the cheap supply.

A "posting" is listings of one item that showed up in the same snapshot at the same price: one seller's batch. The API has no seller names.

Recipe links

No material/crafted links for this item yet.

Crafting it

First Aid: 3× Linen Bandage 10c, 1× Refreshing Spring Water 9c

Materials 39c → sells for 1s 3c: 64c per craft

Can craft it: Baharr, David, Dingus, Hazzy, Holy, John, Mister, Nethiri, Shermoond, Zolon