Forceful Thick Armor Kit
Consumable · Permanent · item 252463
Price
Log scale. The gold band is the forecast (Holt-Winters with a daily cycle on the log floor), dark = 80%, light = 95%. Purple marks are sudden moves.
How fast it sells
| Posted at | Seen | 2h | 6h | 12h | 24h | 48h |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at or below floor | 31 | 18% | 69% | 69% | 69% | 69% |
Kaplan-Meier: share of listings sold within each time, by price vs the floor the seller saw when posting. Cancelled, expired and still-listed auctions count as "not sold yet", not as failures. 8 sales out of 32 tracked listings.
Chance to sell, by price
Needs tracked sales to fit a model.
Best posting price
Needs a demand model (tracked sales) first.
Market structure
The biggest single posting holds 43% of listed quantity across 10 postings (HHI 0.25, moderately concentrated). Near the floor right now, one posting holds 43% of the cheap supply.
A "posting" is listings of one item that showed up in the same snapshot at the same price: one seller's batch. The API has no seller names.
Recipe links
No material/crafted links for this item yet.
Crafting it
Leatherworking: 1× Thick Armor Kit 14s 50c, 2× 
Vision Dust 10s 12c, 2× 
Elixir of Ogre Strength 4s 4c
Materials 42s 82c → sells for 48s 74c: 5s 92c per craft
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