FOREVERAH
Collecting since Sat 14 Nov 14:19: 0.2 of the ~14 days the models need to settle. Price history is real already; demand, pricing and forecasts firm up as data comes in.

Sandpaper

Trade Goods · Parts · item 249432 · vendor 2s 50c

no demand model yet
Floor15s 69ccheapest 15s 69c
Median16s 25cby quantity
Listed19823 listings
Sold / day105avg of last 1 days with sales

Price

Floor (10th pct)MedianCheapest

Log scale. The gold band is the forecast (Holt-Winters with a daily cycle on the log floor), dark = 80%, light = 95%. Purple marks are sudden moves.

ListedSold (est.)

How fast it sells

at or below floorfloor to +10%
Posted atSeen2h6h12h24h48h
at or below floor1557%57%57%57%57%
floor to +10%50%0%0%0%0%

Kaplan-Meier: share of listings sold within each time, by price vs the floor the seller saw when posting. Cancelled, expired and still-listed auctions count as "not sold yet", not as failures. 4 sales out of 22 tracked listings.

Chance to sell, by price

Needs tracked sales to fit a model.

Best posting price

Needs a demand model (tracked sales) first.

Market structure

The biggest single posting holds 25% of listed quantity across 13 postings (HHI 0.15, competitive). Near the floor right now, one posting holds 35% of the cheap supply.

A "posting" is listings of one item that showed up in the same snapshot at the same price: one seller's batch. The API has no seller names.

Recipe links

No material/crafted links for this item yet.

Crafting it

Engineering: 2× Bauxite 4s 20c, 1× Bolt of Linen Cloth 48c

Materials 8s 88c → sells for 14s 90c: 6s 2c per craft

Used to make

RecipeNeedsProfit
Totem of Ancestral Protection Enchanting 4 –
Officer's Sabatons Blacksmithing 4 –
Sentinel's Sabatons Blacksmithing 4 –
Warder's Sabatons Blacksmithing 4 –
Prefect's Sabatons Blacksmithing 4 –
Justicar's Sabatons Blacksmithing 4 –
Officer's Gauntlet Blacksmithing 4 –
Sentinel's Gauntlet Blacksmithing 4 –
Warder's Gauntlet Blacksmithing 4 –
Prefect's Gauntlet Blacksmithing 4 –
Justicar's Gauntlet Blacksmithing 4 –
Officer's Waistguard Blacksmithing 6 –
Sentinel's Waistguard Blacksmithing 6 –
Warder's Waistguard Blacksmithing 6 –
Prefect's Waistguard Blacksmithing 6 –
Justicar's Waistguard Blacksmithing 6 –
Officer's Pauldrons Blacksmithing 6 –
Sentinel's Pauldrons Blacksmithing 6 –
Warder's Pauldrons Blacksmithing 6 –
Prefect's Pauldrons Blacksmithing 6 –
Justicar's Pauldrons Blacksmithing 6 –
Officer's Wristguards Blacksmithing 6 –
Sentinel's Wristguards Blacksmithing 6 –
Warder's Wristguards Blacksmithing 6 –
Prefect's Wristguards Blacksmithing 6 –

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