Trade Goods · Parts · item 249432 · vendor 2s 50c
Log scale. The gold band is the forecast (Holt-Winters with a daily cycle on the log floor), dark = 80%, light = 95%. Purple marks are sudden moves.
| Posted at | Seen | 2h | 6h | 12h | 24h | 48h |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at or below floor | 15 | 57% | 57% | 57% | 57% | 57% |
| floor to +10% | 5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Kaplan-Meier: share of listings sold within each time, by price vs the floor the seller saw when posting. Cancelled, expired and still-listed auctions count as "not sold yet", not as failures. 4 sales out of 22 tracked listings.
Needs tracked sales to fit a model.
Needs a demand model (tracked sales) first.
The biggest single posting holds 25% of listed quantity across 13 postings (HHI 0.15, competitive). Near the floor right now, one posting holds 35% of the cheap supply.
A "posting" is listings of one item that showed up in the same snapshot at the same price: one seller's batch. The API has no seller names.
No material/crafted links for this item yet.
Engineering: 2×
Bauxite 4s 20c, 1×
Bolt of Linen Cloth 48c
Materials 8s 88c → sells for 14s 90c: 6s 2c per craft
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