Trade Goods · Other · item 2324 · vendor 6c
Log scale. The gold band is the forecast (Holt-Winters with a daily cycle on the log floor), dark = 80%, light = 95%. Purple marks are sudden moves.
| Posted at | Seen | 2h | 6h | 12h | 24h | 48h |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at or below floor | 8 | 33% | 67% | 67% | 67% | 67% |
Kaplan-Meier: share of listings sold within each time, by price vs the floor the seller saw when posting. Cancelled, expired and still-listed auctions count as "not sold yet", not as failures. 2 sales out of 9 tracked listings.
Needs tracked sales to fit a model.
Needs a demand model (tracked sales) first.
The biggest single posting holds 52% of listed quantity across 5 postings (HHI 0.416, concentrated). Near the floor right now, one posting holds 56% of the cheap supply.
A "posting" is listings of one item that showed up in the same snapshot at the same price: one seller's batch. The API has no seller names.
No material/crafted links for this item yet.
| Recipe | Needs | Profit |
|---|---|---|
| Cloudy Gustwoven Spaulders Leatherworking | 6 | 18g 17s |
| Cloudy Stormsewn Epaulets Tailoring | 6 | 4g 3s |
| Cloudy Stormsewn Cowl Tailoring | 8 | 3g 77s |
| Cloudy Windraveled Cover Leatherworking | 8 | 3g 20s |
| 1 | 50s 7c | |
| 1 | 10s 61c | |
| 1 | 54c | |
| 1 | 51c | |
| 1 | 39c | |
| 2 | −2s 31c | |
| 1 | −2s 69c | |
| 4 | −9s 21c | |
| 2 | −16s 10c | |
| 2 | −21s 8c | |
| Cloudy Gustwoven Hood Leatherworking | 8 | – |
| Cloudy Windraveled Drapes Leatherworking | 6 | – |
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