FOREVERAH
Collecting since Sat 14 Nov 14:19: 0.1 of the ~14 days the models need to settle. Price history is real already; demand, pricing and forecasts firm up as data comes in.

Bleach

Trade Goods · Other · item 2324 · vendor 6c

no demand model yet
Floor23ccheapest 23c
Median24cby quantity
Listed1068 listings
Sold / day264avg of last 1 days with sales

Price

Floor (10th pct)MedianCheapest

Log scale. The gold band is the forecast (Holt-Winters with a daily cycle on the log floor), dark = 80%, light = 95%. Purple marks are sudden moves.

ListedSold (est.)

How fast it sells

at or below floor
Posted atSeen2h6h12h24h48h
at or below floor833%67%67%67%67%

Kaplan-Meier: share of listings sold within each time, by price vs the floor the seller saw when posting. Cancelled, expired and still-listed auctions count as "not sold yet", not as failures. 2 sales out of 9 tracked listings.

Chance to sell, by price

Needs tracked sales to fit a model.

Best posting price

Needs a demand model (tracked sales) first.

Market structure

The biggest single posting holds 52% of listed quantity across 5 postings (HHI 0.416, concentrated). Near the floor right now, one posting holds 56% of the cheap supply.

A "posting" is listings of one item that showed up in the same snapshot at the same price: one seller's batch. The API has no seller names.

Recipe links

No material/crafted links for this item yet.

Used to make

RecipeNeedsProfit
Cloudy Gustwoven Spaulders Leatherworking 6 18g 17s
Cloudy Stormsewn Epaulets Tailoring 6 4g 3s
Cloudy Stormsewn Cowl Tailoring 8 3g 77s
Cloudy Windraveled Cover Leatherworking 8 3g 20s
Simple Black Dress Tailoring 1 50s 7c
White Bandit Mask Tailoring 1 10s 61c
Simple Dress Tailoring 1 54c
White Linen Shirt Tailoring 1 51c
White Linen Robe Tailoring 1 39c
White Swashbuckler's Shirt Tailoring 2 −2s 31c
White Leather Jerkin Leatherworking 1 −2s 69c
White Woolen Dress Tailoring 4 −9s 21c
Phoenix Gloves Tailoring 2 −16s 10c
Formal White Shirt Tailoring 2 −21s 8c
Cloudy Gustwoven Hood Leatherworking 8 –
Cloudy Windraveled Drapes Leatherworking 6 –

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