Armor · Leather · item 2309 · vendor 2s 17c
Log scale. The gold band is the forecast (Holt-Winters with a daily cycle on the log floor), dark = 80%, light = 95%. Purple marks are sudden moves.
| Posted at | Seen | 2h | 6h | 12h | 24h | 48h |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at or below floor | 105 | 14% | 14% | 14% | 14% | 14% |
| floor to +10% | 12 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Kaplan-Meier: share of listings sold within each time, by price vs the floor the seller saw when posting. Cancelled, expired and still-listed auctions count as "not sold yet", not as failures. 14 sales out of 118 tracked listings.
Needs tracked sales to fit a model.
Needs a demand model (tracked sales) first.
The biggest single posting holds 14% of listed quantity across 21 postings (HHI 0.077, competitive). Near the floor right now, one posting holds 17% of the cheap supply.
A "posting" is listings of one item that showed up in the same snapshot at the same price: one seller's batch. The API has no seller names.
| When | Bought at | Relisted at | Qty |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 14 Nov 17:49 | 3s 90c | 10s | 1 |
| Sat 14 Nov 17:49 | 3s 90c | 10s | 1 |
| Sat 14 Nov 17:49 | 3s 90c | 10s | 1 |
| Sat 14 Nov 17:49 | 3s 90c | 10s | 1 |
| Sat 14 Nov 17:49 | 3s 90c | 10s | 1 |
| Sat 14 Nov 17:49 | 3s 90c | 10s | 1 |
| Sat 14 Nov 17:49 | 3s 90c | 10s | 1 |
| Sat 14 Nov 17:49 | 3s 90c | 10s | 1 |
| Sat 14 Nov 17:49 | 3s 90c | 10s | 1 |
No material/crafted links for this item yet.
Leatherworking: 8×
Light Leather 70c, 5×
Coarse Thread 12c
Materials 6s 20c → sells for 3s 69c: −2s 51c per craft
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