Trade Goods · Parts · item 18631 · vendor 30s
Log scale. The gold band is the forecast (Holt-Winters with a daily cycle on the log floor), dark = 80%, light = 95%. Purple marks are sudden moves.
| Posted at | Seen | 2h | 6h | 12h | 24h | 48h |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at or below floor | 37 | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% |
Kaplan-Meier: share of listings sold within each time, by price vs the floor the seller saw when posting. Cancelled, expired and still-listed auctions count as "not sold yet", not as failures. 3 sales out of 37 tracked listings.
Needs tracked sales to fit a model.
Needs a demand model (tracked sales) first.
The biggest single posting holds 37% of listed quantity across 6 postings (HHI 0.266, concentrated). Near the floor right now, one posting holds 37% of the cheap supply.
A "posting" is listings of one item that showed up in the same snapshot at the same price: one seller's batch. The API has no seller names.
No material/crafted links for this item yet.
Engineering: 2×
Truesilver Bar 15s 50c, 2×
Elemental Earth 21s, 1×
Elemental Air 18s 3c
Materials 91s 3c → sells for 3g 46s: 2g 55s per craft
| Recipe | Needs | Profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6g 4s | |
| 1 | 3g 86s | |
| 2 | −88s 73c | |
| 2 | – | |
| 3 | – | |
| 4 | – | |
| 2 | – | |
| 2 | – | |
| 1 | – | |
| 2 | – | |
| 1 | – | |
| 1 | – |
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