Ironfeather Shoulders
Armor · Leather · item 15067 · vendor 1g 27s
Price
Log scale. The gold band is the forecast (Holt-Winters with a daily cycle on the log floor), dark = 80%, light = 95%. Purple marks are sudden moves.
How fast it sells
| Posted at | Seen | 2h | 6h | 12h | 24h | 48h |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at or below floor | 14 | 21% | 43% | 43% | 43% | 43% |
Kaplan-Meier: share of listings sold within each time, by price vs the floor the seller saw when posting. Cancelled, expired and still-listed auctions count as "not sold yet", not as failures. 6 sales out of 14 tracked listings.
Chance to sell, by price
Needs tracked sales to fit a model.
Best posting price
Needs a demand model (tracked sales) first.
Market structure
The biggest single posting holds 70% of listed quantity across 4 postings (HHI 0.52, concentrated). Near the floor right now, one posting holds 70% of the cheap supply.
A "posting" is listings of one item that showed up in the same snapshot at the same price: one seller's batch. The API has no seller names.
Recipe links
No material/crafted links for this item yet.
Crafting it
Leatherworking: 24× 
Rugged Leather 17s 98c, 80× 
Ironfeather 3s 50c, 2× 
Jade 7s 78c, 1× 
Rune Thread 55s 99c
Materials 7g 83s → sells for 9g 47s: 1g 64s per craft
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