FOREVERAH
Collecting since Sat 14 Nov 14:19: 0.2 of the ~14 days the models need to settle. Price history is real already; demand, pricing and forecasts firm up as data comes in.

Devilsaur Gauntlets

Armor · Leather · item 15063 · vendor 1g 17s

no demand model yet
Floor18g 99scheapest 18g 99s
Median18g 99sby quantity
Listed4343 listings
Sold / day5avg of last 1 days with sales

Price

Floor (10th pct)MedianCheapest

Log scale. The gold band is the forecast (Holt-Winters with a daily cycle on the log floor), dark = 80%, light = 95%. Purple marks are sudden moves.

ListedSold (est.)

How fast it sells

at or below floor
Posted atSeen2h6h12h24h48h
at or below floor608%17%17%17%17%

Kaplan-Meier: share of listings sold within each time, by price vs the floor the seller saw when posting. Cancelled, expired and still-listed auctions count as "not sold yet", not as failures. 5 sales out of 60 tracked listings.

Chance to sell, by price

Needs tracked sales to fit a model.

Best posting price

Needs a demand model (tracked sales) first.

Market structure

The biggest single posting holds 33% of listed quantity across 8 postings (HHI 0.236, moderately concentrated). Near the floor right now, one posting holds 48% of the cheap supply.

A "posting" is listings of one item that showed up in the same snapshot at the same price: one seller's batch. The API has no seller names.

Recipe links

No material/crafted links for this item yet.

Crafting it

Leatherworking: 30× Rugged Leather 16s 77c, 8× Devilsaur Leather 1g 11s, 1× Rune Thread 48s 99c

Materials 14g 47s → sells for 18g 4s: 3g 56s per craft

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