FOREVERAH
Collecting since Sat 14 Nov 14:19: 0.2 of the ~14 days the models need to settle. Price history is real already; demand, pricing and forecasts firm up as data comes in.

Raw Nightfin Snapper

Trade Goods · Cooking · item 13759 · vendor 10c

no demand model yet
Floor2s 95ccheapest 2s 94c
Median4s 9cby quantity
Listed2,31186 listings
Sold / day229avg of last 1 days with sales

Price

Floor (10th pct)MedianCheapest

Log scale. The gold band is the forecast (Holt-Winters with a daily cycle on the log floor), dark = 80%, light = 95%. Purple marks are sudden moves.

ListedSold (est.)

How fast it sells

at or below floor
Posted atSeen2h6h12h24h48h
at or below floor5121%21%21%21%21%

Kaplan-Meier: share of listings sold within each time, by price vs the floor the seller saw when posting. Cancelled, expired and still-listed auctions count as "not sold yet", not as failures. 10 sales out of 53 tracked listings.

Chance to sell, by price

Needs tracked sales to fit a model.

Best posting price

Needs a demand model (tracked sales) first.

Market structure

The biggest single posting holds 24% of listed quantity across 25 postings (HHI 0.103, competitive). Near the floor right now, one posting holds 40% of the cheap supply.

A "posting" is listings of one item that showed up in the same snapshot at the same price: one seller's batch. The API has no seller names.

Possible flips, last 7 days

WhenBought atRelisted atQty
Sat 14 Nov 16:492s 95c1g 2s1

Recipe links

No material/crafted links for this item yet.

Used to make

RecipeNeedsProfit
Nightfin Soup Cooking 1 72c

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